The highly anticipated Coppa Italia quarter-final clash between AC Milan and Roma promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams have been in solid form, making this fixture a closely contested battle. In this in-depth preview, we analyze key stats, recent performances, probable lineups, and betting insights to provide expert predictions.
Match Preview: AC Milan vs Roma
Recent Form & Head-to-Head Record
AC Milan’s Last Five Matches:
- AC Milan 1-1 Inter Milan – Serie A
- Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 AC Milan – Champions League
- AC Milan 3-2 Parma – Serie A
- AC Milan 6-1 Sassuolo – Coppa Italia Round of 16
- Juventus 2-1 AC Milan – Serie A
Roma’s Last Five Matches:
- Roma 1-1 Napoli – Serie A
- Roma 2-0 Frankfurt – Europa League
- Udinese 1-2 Roma – Serie A
- Roma 4-1 Sampdoria – Coppa Italia Round of 16
- Lazio 2-2 Roma – Serie A
In their last three meetings, Roma has avoided defeat against Milan, securing two draws and a win. Historically, Milan has won five of the last ten encounters, while Roma has won twice, with three draws.
Team Performance Analysis
AC Milan’s Key Statistics (Last 10 Games):
- Wins: 4
- Draws: 4
- Losses: 2
- Goals Scored: 1.3 per match
- Shots on Target: 5.1 per game
- Possession: 52.9%
- Key Player: Tijjani Reijnders (6 goals, 2 assists)
Roma’s Key Statistics (Last 10 Games):
- Wins: 5
- Draws: 3
- Losses: 2
- Goals Scored: 2.0 per match
- Shots on Target: 5.3 per game
- Possession: 51.8%
- Key Player: Paulo Dybala (3 goals, 2 assists)
Roma has displayed a superior goal-scoring record compared to Milan, averaging 2.0 goals per game in their last 10 fixtures.
AC Milan vs Roma Predicted Lineups
AC Milan (4-2-3-1):
- Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
- Defenders: Kyle Walker, Matteo Gabbia, Fikayo Tomori, Theo Hernandez
- Midfielders: Youssouf Fofana, Yunus Musah, Christian Pulisic, Tijjani Reijnders, Rafael Leao
- Striker: Tammy Abraham
Roma (3-4-2-1):
- Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
- Defenders: Chris Smalling, Evan Ndicka, Gianluca Mancini
- Midfielders: Angelino, Leandro Paredes, Bryan Cristante, Rick Karsdorp
- Forwards: Paulo Dybala, Lorenzo Pellegrini
- Striker: Romelu Lukaku
AC Milan vs Roma Betting Odds & Market Insights
- AC Milan Win: 2.05 (49% Probability)
- Draw: 3.20
- Roma Win: 3.60
- Double Chance (Roma or Draw): 1.73
- Both Teams to Score (Yes): 1.75
- Over 2.5 Goals: 1.95
Key Betting Predictions:
- Double Chance (Roma or Draw @ 1.73) – Roma’s unbeaten streak and attacking prowess make them a strong bet.
- Both Teams to Score (Yes @ 1.75) – Milan and Roma have consistently scored in recent encounters.
- Over 2.5 Goals (1.95) – Given Roma’s offensive strength, we expect a high-scoring match.
Tactical Insights: How the Game Will Unfold
Roma will likely play a high-pressing game, exploiting Milan’s defensive vulnerabilities, especially on counterattacks. Milan, on the other hand, will rely on individual brilliance from Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic to break down Roma’s compact defensive structure.
Prediction: AC Milan 1-2 Roma
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Conclusion
AC Milan vs Roma promises to be an intense Coppa Italia showdown, with both teams in strong form. While Milan holds the edge in possession and defensive stability, Roma’s superior attacking efficiency and recent unbeaten record suggest they can pull off a result. Expect an exciting, high-scoring encounter with Roma slightly favored to advance.
