The highly anticipated second leg of the Europa League knockout phase play-off between Roma and Porto is set to take place at Stadio Olimpico. With the first leg ending in a 1-1 draw, both teams will be eager to secure their place in the next round. Our in-depth analysis covers team form, predicted lineups, key statistics, and betting odds to provide the most accurate prediction for this match.
🔜 Our next match will be against Porto at the Olimpico 💛❤
— AS Roma English (@ASRomaEN) February 16, 2025
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Roma vs Porto Match Preview & Recent Form
Roma’s Recent Performance
Roma’s last outing in Serie A resulted in a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Parma. Claudio Ranieri’s squad dominated possession with 72% and registered four shots on target, with Matias Soule scoring the decisive goal.
Over their last 10 league matches:
- Wins: 6
- Draws: 3
- Losses: 1
- Goals Scored: 1.8 per match
- Goals Conceded: 0.8 per match
- Average Possession: 51.9%
- Key Players: Paulo Dybala (4 goals), Artem Dovbyk (4 goals), Alexis Saelemaekers (3 goals)
- Clean Sheets: 4 (Mile Svilar)
Porto’s Recent Performance
Porto secured a narrow 1-0 away win over Farense in their last Primeira Liga match, with Francisco Moura scoring the winner.
Over their last 10 league matches:
- Wins: 4
- Draws: 4
- Losses: 2
- Goals Scored: 1.6 per match
- Goals Conceded: 1.0 per match
- Average Possession: 66.2%
- Key Players: Samuel Aghehowa (4 goals), Rodrigo Mora (2 goals, 3 assists)
- Clean Sheets: 4 (Diogo Costa)
The previous three head-to-head encounters between these two sides resulted in one win each and one draw, showcasing their evenly matched capabilities.
Predicted Lineups & Team News
Roma (Predicted 4-3-3 Lineup)
Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
Defenders: Gianluca Mancini, Mats Hummels, Evan N’Dicka, Mehmet Zeki Celik
Midfielders: Kouadio Kone, Leandro Paredes, Lorenzo Pellegrini
Forwards: Angelino, Paulo Dybala, Artem Dovbyk
Porto (Predicted 4-4-2 Lineup)
Goalkeeper: Diogo Costa
Defenders: Tiago Djalo, Nehuen Perez, Otavio, Joao Mario
Midfielders: Stephen Eustaquio, Alan Varela, Francisco Moura, Pepe
Forwards: Rodrigo Mora, Samuel Aghehowa
Injury updates and final lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.
Day -1 ☑💪 #ASRFCP pic.twitter.com/L9kuTmFw6r
— FC Porto (@FCPorto) February 19, 2025
Key Match Statistics
- Roma have scored 2+ goals in 10 of their last 20 matches.
- Porto have scored 2+ goals in 14 of their last 22 Primeira Liga matches.
- Both teams have scored in 50% of their previous 20 games.
- Porto have kept clean sheets in 40% of their last 10 matches.
- Roma average 4.8 corners per match, while Porto average 6.2 corners per match.
Roma vs Porto Betting Odds & Predictions
The bookmakers favor Roma with a 58% probability of winning, reflected in their 1.73 odds. Porto, considered the underdogs, stand at 5.00 odds.
Key Betting Markets:
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS Yes) @ 1.91 – Given both teams’ attacking prowess, this market holds strong value.
- Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.00 – With both teams capable of scoring, expect an open game.
- Roma to Win & BTTS Yes @ 3.50 – A high-value bet combining the expected outcome.
Expert Betting Pick
👉 Both Teams to Score (BTTS Yes) @ 1.91
This market offers solid value as both teams have demonstrated consistent goal-scoring ability. For higher odds, consider combining BTTS with a Roma victory.
Final Score Prediction: Roma 2-1 Porto
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💬 "We know it's make or break on Thursday. The fans will have to drive us forward"#ASRoma | #RomaPorto pic.twitter.com/7IZVAVeH79
— AS Roma English (@ASRomaEN) February 17, 2025
Conclusion
With the first leg ending in a 1-1 draw, Roma and Porto both have everything to play for. Given their strong home form and attacking depth, Roma hold a slight advantage. However, Porto’s counter-attacking ability and efficiency in front of goal make them a formidable opp
